My Process: Picking Between Dobbs and Wilson
Alright, let’s talk about this Dobbs versus Wilson thing. I actually had to figure this out myself recently, not for some big analysis, just for my own lineup headache. Here’s kinda how I walked through it.
First off, I sat down and just thought about what I was seeing from both guys lately. You watch the games, right? You get a feel. Dobbs, he was making things happen with his legs, scrambling, keeping plays alive. Looked exciting sometimes, but also kinda felt like it could fall apart any second, you know? Lots of energy, maybe a bit raw.
Then there’s Russell Wilson. Man, he’s got the history, the Super Bowl ring. But watching him lately… it’s different. More conservative maybe? Seems like he wasn’t taking as many risks. Sometimes that’s good, sometimes it means fewer big plays. Felt a bit more predictable, maybe safer, but less explosive.
Okay, so gut feeling is one thing. Then I actually got practical. I pulled up the stats side-by-side for the last few games. Not just the final scores, but the nitty-gritty:
- Completion percentage
- Passing yards per game
- Touchdowns versus interceptions
- Crucially: Rushing yards. Dobbs had a clear edge here usually.
- Sacks taken – who’s under more pressure?
Looking at the numbers helped put some facts behind the feelings. Dobbs’ rushing numbers were tempting. Wilson’s stats were… well, they were stats. Nothing usually jumped off the page, good or bad.
Next step, I checked the upcoming matchups. This is huge. Who were they playing? Was the defense tough against the pass? Did they give up a lot of points to quarterbacks? Did they get a lot of sacks? A good QB against a terrible defense is usually a better bet than a great QB against an elite defense.
I spent some time on this part. Looked at the defensive rankings, recent defensive performances. I specifically checked how each defense handled mobile QBs (for Dobbs) and how they handled more traditional pocket passers (for Wilson).
Then I thought about the teams around them. How was the offensive line playing? Were their main receivers healthy? A quarterback can’t do it all alone. If Wilson’s line was shaky or Dobbs’ top receiver was out, that definitely factored into my thinking. Checked injury reports, read some practice notes if I could find ’em.
After all that, I basically made a mental pros and cons list.
Dobbs:
- Pro: Rushing ability gives a higher ceiling.
- Pro: Can make something out of nothing.
- Con: Turnover prone sometimes?
- Con: Less consistent as a pure passer maybe.
Wilson:
- Pro: Veteran experience, seen it all.
- Pro: Potentially safer floor, less likely to completely bomb.
- Con: Lower ceiling? Less rushing upside.
- Con: Sometimes looked hesitant or offense seemed stuck.
Finally, I had to just make the call based on everything – the stats, the eye test, the matchup, the surrounding cast. For the specific week I was looking at, I leaned towards [I’ll just pick one for the example’s sake] Dobbs purely because the matchup seemed slightly better for a running QB and I felt like I needed the potential upside more than the safer floor Wilson might provide. It felt like rolling the dice a bit more, but that’s part of the fun, right?
So yeah, that was my process. No magic formula, just looking at the info I had, trusting my gut a bit, and hoping for the best. Sometimes it works out, sometimes it doesn’t!
