Well, let me tell ya somethin’ about them homerun predictions. Folks always wanna know who’s gonna knock one outta the park, right? It’s like tryin’ to guess how many eggs a hen’s gonna lay, ya never really know for sure, but ya can make a good guess if ya know what to look for.
Now, some fellas on the internet, they got all these fancy websites and numbers. They talk about “Dimers” and “MLB picks” and “betting edges.” Sounds like a bunch of hogwash to me, but I guess some folks listen to ’em. They say they can tell ya who’s gonna hit a homerun tonight. Heck, if I knew that, I wouldn’t be sittin’ here jawin’ with ya, I’d be at the ballpark winnin’ myself some money!
These websites, they use all sorts of things, like “ATS” and “money lines” and “totals.” I ain’t got a clue what that means, but I reckon it’s got somethin’ to do with figuring out who’s gonna win and by how much. They also look at “player performance” and “key statistics.” That just means they see how good a fella’s been hittin’ the ball lately, how many home runs he’s already got, that kinda stuff.
- Seein’ who’s hot: Like I said, if a fella’s been hittin’ the ball hard lately, he’s more likely to hit a homerun. It’s like when the fish are bitin’, ya gotta keep castin’ your line.
- Lookin’ at the pitchers: Some pitchers, they throw meatballs, ya know? Easy pitches that guys can just tee off on. Other pitchers, they got that nasty stuff, hard to hit. Ya gotta know who’s on the mound.
- Knowin’ the ballpark: Some ballparks, they’re small, the fences are close, easy to hit a homerun. Other parks, they’re big, like tryin’ to hit a ball outta a cornfield. That makes a difference too.
They talk about the “2024 MLB season” and the “2025 World Series.” Seems like they’re always lookin’ ahead, tryin’ to figure out who’s gonna win next year. They even say the Dodgers are favorites, but I wouldn’t put too much stock in that. A lot can happen in a season. Injuries, slumps, you name it. It ain’t over till the last out, that’s what I always say.
These websites also got somethin’ they call “computer picks.” I guess that means they got some fancy machine that spits out who’s gonna hit a homerun. I don’t trust no machine, give me a good ol’ fashioned scout any day. Someone who’s seen these fellas play, knows their swing, knows their strengths and weaknesses.
I heard tell that back in ’87, the Blue Jays hit ten homeruns in one game! Ten! Can ya imagine that? Ernie Whitt hit three himself. Now that’s what I call a power hitter. Nowadays, they got guys hittin’ 40, 50 homeruns a season. It’s somethin’ else. But it don’t mean nothin’ if ya can’t hit ’em when it counts, in the playoffs, in the World Series.
So, if ya wanna know who’s gonna hit a homerun tonight, you can listen to them fancy websites and their “expert predictions,” or ya can just watch the game and see what happens. That’s what I do. ‘Cause at the end of the day, it’s just a game. Sometimes the ball goes over the fence, sometimes it don’t. That’s baseball.
And another thing, they talk about “free expert MLB predictions” every day of the season. They say there’s a whole bunch of games, 2,340 regular season games or some such. That’s a whole lotta baseball! And for every game they got their predictions on who’s gonna win and by how much, and I guess who might hit a homerun too. They got “runlines” and “over/unders”… Sounds complicated if ya ask me. I just like watchin’ the boys swing the bat and seein’ if they can knock it out.
Betting on homeruns they say… Well, I ain’t much of a gamblin’ woman, but I reckon if you’re gonna bet, you gotta know what you’re doin’. They say you gotta look at the “player performance this season” and other things. Like I said before, if a fella’s hot, he’s hot, but baseball’s a funny game. Sometimes a fella can’t hit nothin’ for a week, then all of a sudden, he’s hittin’ ‘em out every night.
They also got these things called “home run props,” I think that means bettin’ on whether a certain player will hit one or not. Seems kinda risky to me, but I guess some folks like that kinda thing. Me? I’d rather just enjoy the game and cheer for my team.
So, there ya have it. My thoughts on these homerun predictions. Take ‘em or leave ‘em, it don’t matter much to me. I’ll be watchin’ the game either way.
