Okay, so I wanted to talk about this little thing I tried doing, kinda like a personal project, trying to get a feel for what Texas might throw at us next, weather-wise. You know how it is here, one minute it’s sunny, the next you’re getting soaked or blown away.

Getting Started
It really just started out of frustration. Standard weather apps are fine, mostly, but sometimes they just don’t capture the feel of what’s coming, especially those sudden shifts we get. So, I figured, why not try and see if I could spot some patterns myself? Nothing fancy, just paying more attention.
First thing I did was actually pretty basic. I just started looking outside more often. Sounds dumb, right? But I mean really looking. Checking the cloud types – were they puffy, wispy, dark, moving fast? Which way was the wind blowing? You can feel it on your face, see it in the trees. I got one of those cheap outdoor thermometers too, just to keep an eye on the actual temperature swings right here in my backyard, not just the general forecast.
Trying to Keep Track
After a few weeks of just looking, I thought, I gotta write this stuff down, otherwise I’ll forget. So, I grabbed an old notebook. Every morning and evening, sometimes midday if I remembered, I’d jot down a few things:
- Temperature (from my thermometer)
- Wind direction (just N, S, E, W, or NE etc.)
- Cloud cover (clear, partly cloudy, overcast, heavy)
- Did it feel humid or dry?
- My own guess for the next 12-24 hours (like ‘feels like rain’ or ‘gonna get windy’)
Honestly, it felt a bit like playing detective. I wasn’t using any complicated tools, just my eyes, the cheap thermometer, and that notebook. I’d compare my notes to what actually happened later.
Hitting Walls and Finding Bits
Now, I gotta be real. It was harder than I thought. Lots of times my guesses were way off. Texas weather is just plain tricky. There were days I was sure it would rain based on the dark clouds rolling in, and then… nothing. Or days that seemed perfectly calm blew up into a windstorm.
But I did start noticing a few little things, maybe not super reliable, but interesting. Like how sometimes, the day before a big temperature drop, the wind would shift direction completely. Or how a certain kind of hazy sky often came before a really hot, humid day. It wasn’t rocket science, just small observations.
I also started comparing my little notes to what the official forecasts were saying after the fact. Sometimes my simple ‘on the ground’ observations matched up better with sudden, short-term changes than the broader forecast did. That felt kinda cool, like I was getting a tiny bit tuned in.
What Came Out Of It
So, can I predict the Texas weather like a pro now? Absolutely not. Not even close. It’s way too complex, and the pros have tools and data I can’t even imagine.

But doing this whole thing, keeping the notebook, just paying closer attention, it did make me feel a bit more connected to what’s going on outside. I definitely have a better appreciation for how quickly things can change here. And sometimes, just sometimes, I get this gut feeling about the weather turning, based on those little things I noticed, and I’m actually right.
End of the day, it was just a fun little experiment. Didn’t cost much, just took a bit of time and attention. And hey, I have a notebook full of scribbles about Texas weather now. Maybe it’ll be useful next time I’m trying to decide if I need a jacket or not. Or maybe not. It was worth trying, though.