Getting Down to Brass Tacks: Chimaev vs Costa
Alright, so when I first heard the matchup Khamzat Chimaev vs Paulo Costa was official, I decided I really wanted to dive deep into this one myself. Wasn’t just about reading what others said, I wanted to go through the process, you know? See what I could figure out just by watching and thinking it through.

Hitting the Books… or Rather, the Videos
First step was simple. I grabbed my tablet, sat down, and started pulling up old fights. Spent a good few hours just re-watching. For Khamzat, I looked hard at the Gilbert Burns fight – that showed a lot, the first time he really got tested. Then watched his other dominant wins too, trying to see patterns in his takedowns and ground control.
Then I switched over to Costa. Watched the Marvin Vettori fight, even though it was at light heavyweight, showed his toughness. Of course, had to rewatch the Israel Adesanya fight too, even though it was a bad night for him, gotta see the whole picture. Focused on his striking power, that pressure he puts on guys, and how he uses those body kicks.
Made some rough notes as I went. Didn’t get fancy, just bullet points on stuff that stood out.
- Khamzat: Relentless wrestling, chain wrestling attempts, heavy top control, striking still a bit wild but powerful. Question marks on cardio in a drawn-out war?
- Costa: Power in hands and feet, marches forward, heavy body work. Takedown defense seemed okay sometimes, but could Khamzat’s level be different? How’s his gas tank after that big weight cut?
I spent some time just thinking about how their styles would crash together. Like, could Costa stop the initial takedown? If he couldn’t, how would he handle Khamzat on top? If he could keep it standing, could Khamzat handle Costa’s power and pressure for three rounds? Lots to chew on.
The Curveball
So I’m feeling like I’ve got a decent grasp, starting to lean one way, maybe thinking about who I’d put my imaginary money on. Talked it over with a couple of buddies, had the usual back-and-forth arguments you have about big fights.
Then, bam. News drops that Costa’s out. Had that nasty infection, needed surgery. Just like that, all that specific prep for the Costa matchup felt kinda pointless, you know? All that focus on his specific skills, his tendencies – gone.
Switching Gears and Lessons Learned
It was a bit frustrating, not gonna lie. You put time into analyzing a specific puzzle, and suddenly the puzzle pieces change completely. Kamaru Usman steps in on super short notice. Total change in dynamics. Different style, different problems he presents.
So, I had to basically toss out the Costa-specific notes and start thinking about Usman vs Chimaev. Still used the base knowledge on Khamzat, of course, but the opponent factor shifted everything.

What did I get out of this whole practice? Well, it really hammered home how unpredictable this fight game is. You can do all the homework, break everything down meticulously, but injuries happen, things change in a heartbeat. It showed me the importance of being adaptable in how you look at these things. The initial work wasn’t totally wasted, learned more about both guys, but yeah, gotta be ready to pivot. That’s just how it is.