Alright, let’s talk about this Wyoming football prediction thing I tinkered with.
Getting Started
So, the season was coming up, or maybe it was mid-season, I don’t recall exactly. Anyway, me and a buddy were chatting, you know, just general stuff about college football. And the Pokes came up. We started arguing about how they’d do in their next game. Instead of just yelling, I figured, why not try to actually figure it out, like, put some thought into it?
The Process – Digging for Info
First thing I did was just plain old searching online. I wasn’t looking for anything fancy, no secret algorithms or anything. I started grabbing basic stuff:
- Recent Scores: How have they been playing lately? Winning? Losing? By how much?
- Opponent Info: Who were they playing next? What was their record? Were they any good?
- Basic Stats: I glanced at things like points scored per game, points allowed. Kept it super simple. Didn’t want to get bogged down in yards per carry or QB ratings. Too much work.
I basically just jotted this stuff down. Sometimes on a piece of paper, sometimes in a simple text file on my computer. Nothing organized, really. Just a brain dump of numbers and team names.
Trying to Make Sense of It
Okay, so I had this pile of info. Now what? I didn’t have a clue about statistical modeling. So, I just started eyeballing it.
I looked at streaks. Were the Cowboys hot? Was the other team cold? Did Wyoming play well at home or were they better on the road? I remembered watching a game earlier where they looked really tough defensively, so I kinda leaned on that feeling too. It wasn’t scientific at all. More like comparing notes and adding a dash of gut feeling.
I tried putting the scores side-by-side. Wyoming’s average points vs the opponent’s average points allowed. Stuff like that. It was pretty crude. Mostly involved looking back and forth between numbers and thinking, “Yeah, maybe they can score more than the other team usually gives up.”
Making the “Prediction”
After staring at the notes for a bit, maybe 20 minutes or so, I just made a call. It wasn’t like, “Wyoming will win 24-17.” More like, “Yeah, I think Wyoming’s got this,” or “Nah, this looks tough, probably a loss.” Sometimes I’d guess a close game or a blowout based on how the simple numbers looked.
Honestly, it felt like educated guessing, heavily weighted on the ‘guessing’ part. I’d tell my buddy my prediction, and we’d see what happened on game day.
How It Turned Out
Was I right all the time? Heck no. Sometimes I nailed it, sometimes I was way off. It’s football, right? Crazy things happen. But going through the motion of looking stuff up and trying to reason it out was kinda fun. It made watching the game a bit more interesting, having put my own little stake in the ground, even if my method was super basic.
So yeah, that was my adventure into Wyoming football prediction. No magic formulas, just looking up simple stats and adding a bit of guesswork. It’s a simple process, something anyone can do if they’re curious.
