Alright, let’s talk about what I did when I started digging into Corey Seager projections for this season. It wasn’t super complicated, just something I got curious about, maybe for my fantasy baseball draft prep, maybe just general interest, you know?
So, first off, I just sat down and decided I needed to get a feel for what people were thinking. Where’s Seager gonna land this year? You hear the buzz, especially after his big seasons and that World Series performance, but I wanted to see the numbers people were actually putting down.
My Starting Point
I basically just started searching around online. Typed in stuff like “Corey Seager 2024 projections”, “Seager fantasy outlook”, things like that. A bunch of the usual sports sites popped up – the big names you’d expect. I didn’t just look at one, though. That’s the key, I think. You gotta look at a few different places because everyone has their own little formula or bias.
I spent some time clicking through a few of them. Didn’t go super deep into their methodologies, honestly. I was more interested in the consensus. What are most folks agreeing on?
Looking at the Numbers
I started jotting down the common predictions I saw:
- Home Runs: This was a big one. Saw numbers hovering mostly in the low 30s, maybe high 20s on the conservative side. Seems reasonable given his power.
- Batting Average: This varied a bit more. Some had him hitting well over .300, others were closer to the .290 mark. His track record supports a high average, but you never know.
- RBIs and Runs: These depend a lot on the team context, where he hits in the lineup, and who’s around him. Projections seemed pretty solid, usually banking on him being a key run producer.
- Playing Time / At-Bats: This is always the tricky one with Seager, right? His talent is undeniable, but you have to factor in potential missed games. Most projections I saw seemed to build in some missed time, not predicting a full 162 games. That felt realistic.
Putting It Together
After looking through maybe 4 or 5 different projection sources, I started to get a picture. It wasn’t like they were wildly different, which was good. Most agreed he’s an elite hitter when healthy.
The main takeaway for me was the health caveat. Every projection, even the really optimistic ones, implicitly or explicitly acknowledges that his final numbers depend heavily on staying on the field. His rate stats (like average, on-base, slugging) are almost always projected to be great. It’s the counting stats (HR, RBI, Runs) that have that slight uncertainty tied to playing time.
So, I didn’t come away with one magic set of numbers. It was more about understanding the range. He could hit .310 with 35 homers if everything clicks and he stays healthy. Or, he might miss 30 games and end up with numbers closer to .290 and 28 homers. Both seem possible based on what I saw.
It was a useful exercise. Didn’t take forever, just involved checking a few reliable spots, comparing the numbers, and applying a bit of common sense based on his history. Now I feel like I have a better handle on what to reasonably expect from Corey Seager.
